Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 1.993888 2.285022 2.605243 2.983818 3.419490 3.905555 4.489542
2025-08-03 1.600580 1.985893 2.445312 3.034421 3.771284 4.664509 5.832559
2025-08-10 1.275701 1.692899 2.225584 2.957676 3.941178 5.221694 7.023705
2025-08-17 1.017172 1.430770 1.991183 2.809380 3.979475 5.601682 8.037449
2025-08-24 0.857919 1.271007 1.861194 2.770818 4.146882 6.165863 9.380883
2025-08-31 0.732389 1.136646 1.742344 2.722552 4.282661 6.692317 10.740294
2025-09-07 0.668796 1.083591 1.733102 2.833043 4.668713 7.643632 12.898828
2025-09-14 0.600488 1.011803 1.682295 2.865935 4.929091 8.423861 14.890600
2025-09-21 0.531794 0.928843 1.600427 2.832233 5.067299 9.011432 16.631012
2025-09-28 0.463810 0.837342 1.491016 2.733113 5.072220 9.359770 17.981837
2025-10-05 0.440989 0.822555 1.513118 2.872073 5.527463 10.582232 21.162318
2025-10-12 0.418702 0.805454 1.528027 2.998007 5.972914 11.843551 24.610458
2025-10-19 0.393409 0.781255 1.530061 3.106686 6.415645 13.194462 28.535932
2025-10-26 0.362847 0.742797 1.499760 3.146976 6.727086 14.330484 32.213482
2025-11-02 0.323268 0.680804 1.414319 3.060535 6.757761 14.880399 34.690621
2025-11-09 0.282470 0.610879 1.303411 2.903345 6.609208 15.014919 36.230686
2025-11-16 0.256552 0.569634 1.248120 2.861489 6.715254 15.739790 39.313545
2025-11-23 0.232967 0.530489 1.192369 2.810518 6.791962 16.406932 42.371592
2025-11-30 0.223665 0.522621 1.205763 2.924076 7.282672 18.147208 48.509476
2025-12-07 0.209744 0.502131 1.187336 2.957709 7.579412 19.450465 53.722505
2025-12-14 0.192968 0.472655 1.143888 2.922697 7.694617 20.305017 57.854774
2025-12-21 0.174100 0.435695 1.077711 2.820203 7.616283 20.635516 60.553983
2025-12-28 0.170119 0.435730 1.103574 2.963681 8.228231 22.942658 69.521026